Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 20.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.