Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Fylde had a probability of 22.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Fylde win it was 1-2 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Exeter City in this match.