Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newport County in this match.
