Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.58%) and 1-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
