Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Carlisle United in this match.
