Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.
