SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 83.1%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 5.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.39%) and 4-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.28%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (1.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Harrogate Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
| 83.1% | 11.23% | 5.66% |
| Both teams to score 46.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.35% | 29.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.22% | 50.78% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.81% | 5.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 79.46% | 20.54% |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.2% | 50.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.79% | 85.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
| 2-0 @ 11.54% 3-0 @ 11.39% 4-0 @ 8.43% 2-1 @ 7.82% 1-0 @ 7.8% 3-1 @ 7.71% 4-1 @ 5.71% 5-0 @ 4.99% 5-1 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 2.61% 6-0 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 1.93% 6-1 @ 1.67% 5-2 @ 1.14% 7-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.47% Total : 83.1% | 1-1 @ 5.28% 2-2 @ 2.65% 0-0 @ 2.64% Other @ 0.67% Total : 11.23% | 1-2 @ 1.79% 0-1 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.09% Total : 5.67% |
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