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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Wetherby Road

Harrogate
2 - 0
Newcastle U21s

Kerry (6'), Orsi-Dadamo (45')
Fallowfield (57'), Sheron (70')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Brookwell (35'), Savage (40'), Anderson (57')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Harrogate Town and Newcastle United Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 83.1%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 5.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.39%) and 4-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.28%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (1.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Harrogate Town in this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
83.1%11.23%5.66%
Both teams to score 46.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.35%29.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.22%50.78%
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.81%5.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.46%20.54%
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.2%50.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.79%85.21%
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 83.1%
    Newcastle United Under-21s 5.67%
    Draw 11.23%
Harrogate TownDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
2-0 @ 11.54%
3-0 @ 11.39%
4-0 @ 8.43%
2-1 @ 7.82%
1-0 @ 7.8%
3-1 @ 7.71%
4-1 @ 5.71%
5-0 @ 4.99%
5-1 @ 3.38%
3-2 @ 2.61%
6-0 @ 2.46%
4-2 @ 1.93%
6-1 @ 1.67%
5-2 @ 1.14%
7-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 83.1%
1-1 @ 5.28%
2-2 @ 2.65%
0-0 @ 2.64%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 11.23%
1-2 @ 1.79%
0-1 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 5.67%

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