Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.