Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.
