Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.