Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
