Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
