Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.