Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 54.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 20.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Southend United win it was 1-0 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.