Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 36.02%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (11.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.