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League Two | Gameweek 14
Oct 23, 2021 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
BC

Swindon
1 - 3
Bradford

Payne (78' pen.)
Gladwin (20'), Baudry (25'), Hunt (50')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Lavery (16'), Sutton (40'), Robinson (75')
O'Donnell (66'), Lavery (67'), Robinson (75')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Bradford City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 36.02%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (11.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawBradford City
35.08%28.9%36.02%
Both teams to score 45.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.53%61.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.65%81.34%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.89%33.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.3%69.7%
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51%32.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.99%69.01%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 35.07%
    Bradford City 36.02%
    Draw 28.89%
Swindon TownDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 11.88%
2-1 @ 7.39%
2-0 @ 6.57%
3-1 @ 2.72%
3-0 @ 2.42%
3-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 35.07%
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 10.75%
2-2 @ 4.15%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.89%
0-1 @ 12.09%
1-2 @ 7.52%
0-2 @ 6.8%
1-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 36.02%

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