Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.