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League Two | Gameweek 12
Oct 16, 2021 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
R

Swindon
2 - 2
Rochdale

Gladwin (37'), Williams (90+3')
Mitchell-Lawson (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Broadbent (57'), Kelly (79')
O'Keeffe (13'), O'Connell (45+1')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Rochdale.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawRochdale
40.17%27.63%32.21%
Both teams to score 48.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.72%57.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.88%78.12%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09%27.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.47%63.53%
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.11%32.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.54%69.46%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 40.16%
    Rochdale 32.2%
    Draw 27.62%
Swindon TownDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 11.71%
2-1 @ 8.31%
2-0 @ 7.47%
3-1 @ 3.54%
3-0 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 1.97%
4-1 @ 1.13%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 40.16%
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 9.18%
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.62%
0-1 @ 10.2%
1-2 @ 7.24%
0-2 @ 5.68%
1-3 @ 2.69%
0-3 @ 2.1%
2-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 32.2%

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