Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
