Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
