SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akron Tolyatti win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akron Tolyatti win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Akron Tolyatti | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
42.97% ( 0.01) | 25.95% | 31.08% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 53.11% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.96% ( -0) | 51.04% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.1% ( -0) | 72.9% ( 0) |
| Akron Tolyatti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.4% | 23.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.32% ( 0) | 57.68% ( -0) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.52% ( -0.01) | 30.48% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.3% ( -0.01) | 66.7% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Akron Tolyatti | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 8.91% 2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.29% 3-0 @ 3.61% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.96% Total : 42.96% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.55% 1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 2.01% Other @ 3.12% Total : 31.08% |
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