SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 73.54%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 9.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.88%) and 0-3 (10.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.06%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 1-0 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
9.49% ( -2.9) | 16.97% ( -2.71) | 73.54% ( 5.6) |
| Both teams to score 44.17% ( -1.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.59% ( 3.94) | 43.41% ( -3.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.19% ( 3.76) | 65.81% ( -3.76) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.23% ( -2.91) | 50.76% ( 2.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.82% ( -2.06) | 85.18% ( 2.06) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.7% ( 2.63) | 10.29% ( -2.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.3% ( 5.67) | 33.7% ( -5.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 3.54% ( -1.02) 2-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.71)2-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.48)Other @ 2.01% Total : 9.49% | 1-1 @ 8.06% ( -1.27) 0-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.96)2-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.41)Other @ 0.59% Total : 16.97% | 0-2 @ 13.5% ( 0.56) 0-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.77)0-3 @ 10.23% ( 1.4)1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.38)1-3 @ 6.94% ( 0.43)0-4 @ 5.82% ( 1.3)1-4 @ 3.95% ( 0.62)0-5 @ 2.65% ( 0.8)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.79% ( 0.43)2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.11)0-6 @ 1% ( 0.37)Other @ 2.92% Total : 73.53% |
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