Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Akron Tolyatti had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Akron Tolyatti win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
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