SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Riyadh win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Al Okhdood had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Riyadh win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Al Okhdood win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Riyadh would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Okhdood | Draw | Al Riyadh |
34.29% ( 0.11) | 25.01% ( 0.21) | 40.7% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 57.35% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.97% ( -0.94) | 46.03% ( 0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.67% ( -0.9) | 68.33% ( 0.9) |
| Al Okhdood Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.03% ( -0.39) | 25.97% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.02% ( -0.52) | 60.98% ( 0.52) |
| Al Riyadh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.47% ( -0.57) | 22.53% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.9% ( -0.85) | 56.1% ( 0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Okhdood | Draw | Al Riyadh |
| 2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.36% Total : 34.29% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25% | 1-2 @ 8.76% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.29% Total : 40.7% |
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