SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wahda win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wahda win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Al Riyadh win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Wahda | Draw | Al Riyadh |
40.22% ( 0.96) | 25.33% ( 0.15) | 34.45% ( -1.11) |
| Both teams to score 56.28% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.57% ( -0.83) | 47.43% ( 0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.35% ( -0.78) | 69.64% ( 0.77) |
| Al Wahda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.62% ( 0.12) | 23.38% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.64% ( 0.17) | 57.35% ( -0.17) |
| Al Riyadh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.45% ( -1.04) | 26.54% ( 1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.25% ( -1.4) | 61.75% ( 1.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Wahda | Draw | Al Riyadh |
| 1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 40.22% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.19% Total : 34.45% |
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