SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Al Quadisiya had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Al Quadisiya win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al Quadisiya |
42.99% ( 0.42) | 23.9% ( -0.09) | 33.11% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 60.96% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.83% ( 0.34) | 41.16% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.44% ( 0.35) | 63.56% ( -0.34) |
| Al Ittihad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.59% ( 0.33) | 19.41% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.77% ( 0.53) | 51.23% ( -0.53) |
| Al Quadisiya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.65% ( -0.03) | 24.35% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.25% ( -0.04) | 58.75% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al Quadisiya |
| 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.23% Total : 42.99% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.89% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.11% |
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