SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 66.67%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 15.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 3-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.4%), while for an Al Ittihad win it was 1-2 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al Ittihad |
66.67% ( 0.6) | 17.47% ( 0.17) | 15.86% ( -0.77) |
| Both teams to score 63.25% ( -2.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.09% ( -2.49) | 28.91% ( 2.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.13% ( -3.11) | 49.87% ( 3.1) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.89% ( -0.53) | 8.11% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.53% ( -1.34) | 28.47% ( 1.34) |
| Al Ittihad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.83% ( -2.49) | 31.17% ( 2.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.49% ( -3.01) | 67.5% ( 3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al Ittihad |
| 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.74)3-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.46)1-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.74)4-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.31)4-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.28)5-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.18)4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.19)6-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.97% Total : 66.67% | 1-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.22)0-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.35)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.26)Other @ 0.36% Total : 17.47% | 1-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.1% Total : 15.86% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
