SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 53.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Al Wahda had a probability of 23.11%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for an Al Wahda win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al Wahda |
53.19% ( 1.22) | 23.7% ( -0.24) | 23.11% ( -0.98) |
| Both teams to score 53.85% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.97% ( 0.04) | 47.03% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.72% ( 0.04) | 69.27% ( -0.04) |
| Al Ittihad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.37% ( 0.47) | 17.62% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.78% ( 0.82) | 48.21% ( -0.82) |
| Al Wahda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.37% ( -0.84) | 34.63% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.65% ( -0.91) | 71.35% ( 0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al Wahda |
| 1-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.64% Total : 53.19% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.69% | 0-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.1% Total : 23.11% |
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