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Nations League | League B
Nov 19, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Air Albania Stadium
UN

Albania
1 - 2
Ukraine

Bajrami (75' pen.)
Bajrami (69'), Tuci (80'), Dovbyk (80')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Zinchenko (5'), Yaremchuk (10')
Mitaj (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Albania 0-0 Czech Republic
Saturday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Georgia 1-1 Ukraine
Saturday, November 16 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Albania 1-1 Ukraine

There is little to choose between these two teams, and Albania rode their luck to claim maximum points when they locked horns in September. A draw is the likeliest result, and one which would leave Albania's fate in others' hands, while Ukraine would be cast down into League C. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Albania had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Albania win was 1-0 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ukraine would win this match.

Result
AlbaniaDrawUkraine
33.17% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 27.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 39.26% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 48.78% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.11% (0.019999999999996 0.02)56.89% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.19% (0.015000000000001 0.02)77.81% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Albania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.97% (0.051000000000002 0.05)32.02% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.51% (0.058 0.06)68.49% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.76% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)28.24% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.05% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)63.95% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Albania 33.16%
    Ukraine 39.25%
    Draw 27.57%
AlbaniaDrawUkraine
1-0 @ 10.29%
2-1 @ 7.41% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.86% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.81% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.23% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 33.16%
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 9.04% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.57%
0-1 @ 11.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.23% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.23% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.47% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98%
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 39.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Albania 0-0 Czech Republic
Saturday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Georgia 0-1 Albania
Monday, October 14 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Czech Republic 2-0 Albania
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Albania 0-1 Georgia
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Ukraine 1-2 Albania
Saturday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Albania 0-1 Spain
Monday, June 24 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Georgia 1-1 Ukraine
Saturday, November 16 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Ukraine 1-1 Czech Republic
Monday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Ukraine 1-0 Georgia
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Czech Republic 3-2 Ukraine
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Ukraine 1-2 Albania
Saturday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Ukraine 0-0 Belgium
Wednesday, June 26 at 5pm in European Championship


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