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Sunday, November 17
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Nations League | League B
Nov 16, 2024 at 5pm UK
Baumit Arena
UN

Georgia
1 - 1
Ukraine

FT(HT: 0-1)
Kverkvelia (7' og.)
Zubkov (3'), Shaparenko (52'), Mykolenko (82'), Mudryk (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Georgia 0-1 Albania
Monday, October 14 at 5pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Ukraine 1-1 Czech Republic
Monday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Georgia 2-1 Ukraine

Two well-matched teams could be separated by one goal again, but home advantage should help Georgia over the line to victory, knocking Ukraine out of the promotion race. The hosts may have an ageing defence, but Willy Sagnol has forged them into a solid team and their ability to counter-attack is renowned. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Georgia had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Georgia win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
GeorgiaDrawUkraine
33.87% (0.097000000000001 0.1) 24.89% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 41.24% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 57.67% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.43% (0.067999999999998 0.07)45.57% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.1% (0.066000000000003 0.07)67.9% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Georgia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74% (0.091000000000008 0.09)26.01% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (0.124 0.12)61.03% (-0.126 -0.13)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.93% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)22.07% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.59% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)55.41% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Georgia 33.87%
    Ukraine 41.24%
    Draw 24.88%
GeorgiaDrawUkraine
2-1 @ 7.87% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.21% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.53% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.34% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 33.87%
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.88%
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.67% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.55% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.45% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.3% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.68% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 41.24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Georgia 0-1 Albania
Monday, October 14 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Ukraine 1-0 Georgia
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Albania 0-1 Georgia
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Georgia 4-1 Czech Republic
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Spain 4-1 Georgia
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Georgia 2-0 Portugal
Wednesday, June 26 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Ukraine 1-1 Czech Republic
Monday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Ukraine 1-0 Georgia
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Czech Republic 3-2 Ukraine
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Ukraine 1-2 Albania
Saturday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Ukraine 0-0 Belgium
Wednesday, June 26 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Slovakia 1-2 Ukraine
Friday, June 21 at 2pm in European Championship


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