SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Italy | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Albania | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Croatia | 2 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 69.14%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Albania had a probability of 12.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.39%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for an Albania win it was 1-0 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Albania | Draw | Spain |
12.56% ( -0.24) | 18.3% ( -0.06) | 69.14% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 50.5% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.17% ( -0.32) | 40.83% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.78% ( -0.33) | 63.22% ( 0.33) |
| Albania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.56% ( -0.58) | 43.43% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.34% ( -0.49) | 79.66% ( 0.49) |
| Spain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.28% ( -0.01) | 10.72% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.34% ( -0.03) | 34.65% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Albania | Draw | Spain |
| 1-0 @ 3.88% ( -0) 2-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.32% Total : 12.56% | 1-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.94% Total : 18.3% | 0-2 @ 11.6% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.14)1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 8.64% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 7.21% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 4.83% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.06)0-5 @ 2.16% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.12% Total : 69.12% |
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