Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 65.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Arandina had a probability of 13.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.55%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for an Arandina win it was 1-0 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.