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La Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
CL

Celta Vigo
1 - 1
Cadiz

Strand Larsen (57')
Dotor (90+3'), Dotor (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ramos (16')
Iza (12'), Sobrino (21'), Gil (45+2'), Mbaye (59'), Alejo (74'), Alcaraz (90+3')
Chust (33')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 0-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, November 25 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Cadiz
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Cadiz

Both of these sides have struggled for wins this season, so we are finding it difficult to back either to triumph with any real confidence. Two of their last five meetings in La Liga have finished level, and we are expecting the points to be shared in Monday's clash at Estadio Municipal de Balaidos. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 21.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawCadiz
51.77% (1.082 1.08) 26.65% (0.202 0.2) 21.58% (-1.282 -1.28)
Both teams to score 43.58% (-1.947 -1.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.36% (-1.773 -1.77)59.64% (1.773 1.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.04% (-1.379 -1.38)79.96% (1.377 1.38)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.78% (-0.27800000000001 -0.28)23.22% (0.278 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.87% (-0.406 -0.41)57.13% (0.405 0.41)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.76% (-2.321 -2.32)43.24% (2.321 2.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.51% (-2.007 -2.01)79.49% (2.007 2.01)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 51.77%
    Cadiz 21.58%
    Draw 26.65%
Celta VigoDrawCadiz
1-0 @ 14.66% (0.84 0.84)
2-0 @ 10.7% (0.53 0.53)
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-0 @ 5.21% (0.218 0.22)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.9% (0.065 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.162 -0.16)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 51.77%
1-1 @ 12.29% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 10.04% (0.651 0.65)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.299 -0.3)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 8.42% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.15% (-0.366 -0.37)
0-2 @ 3.53% (-0.219 -0.22)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 21.58%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Valencia 0-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, November 25 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 4-3 Celta Vigo
Friday, November 10 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-1 Sevilla
Saturday, November 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Turegano 0-4 Celta Vigo
Wednesday, November 1 at 2.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Girona 1-0 Celta Vigo
Friday, October 27 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-3 Atletico
Saturday, October 21 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Cadiz
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 0-3 Real Madrid
Sunday, November 26 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 1-0 Cadiz
Monday, November 6 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Badalona 0-0 Cadiz (2-4 pen.)
Wednesday, November 1 at 11am in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Cadiz 2-2 Sevilla
Saturday, October 28 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 2-0 Cadiz
Monday, October 23 at 8pm in La Liga


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