SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win with a probability of 49.44%. A win for Smorgon had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Smorgon win was 0-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Dzerzhinsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Smorgon |
49.44% ( 0.52) | 24.31% ( -0) | 26.24% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 55.18% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.16% ( -0.38) | 46.84% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.9% ( -0.35) | 69.1% ( 0.35) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81% ( 0.06) | 19% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.45% ( 0.1) | 50.55% ( -0.1) |
| Smorgon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.12% ( -0.6) | 31.87% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.68% ( -0.69) | 68.32% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Smorgon |
| 1-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 49.44% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.3% | 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.69% Total : 26.24% |
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