Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 66.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 12.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.3%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Smorgon win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torpedo-BelAZ would win this match.

Result
Torpedo-BelAZ	Draw	Smorgon
66.84% ( -0.05)	20.51% ( 0.05)	12.65% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 43.66% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.84% (

-0.16)

50.16% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.88% (

-0.15)

72.12% (

0.15)

Torpedo-BelAZ Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.88% (

-0.07)

14.12% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.24% (

-0.13)

41.76% (

0.13)

Smorgon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.84% (

-0.09)

49.16% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.93% (

-0.07)

84.07% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Torpedo-BelAZ 66.83%

Smorgon 12.65%

Draw 20.51%

Torpedo-BelAZ	Draw	Smorgon
1-0 @ 13.58% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 13.3% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 66.83%	1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.57% Total : 20.51%	0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.43% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.75% ( 0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 12.65%