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Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 26
Jun 1, 2024 at 4pm UK
City Stadium

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1 - 2
Dinamo Minsk

Godyaev (34')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rai (39'), Khvashchinskiy (78' og.)
Khvashchinskiy (79')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Arsenal Dzerzhinsk and Dinamo Minsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 2-0 BATE
Sunday, May 26 at 1pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Slavia Mozyr 1-1 Dinamo Minsk
Sunday, May 26 at 5pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Minsk would win this match.

Result
Arsenal DzerzhinskDrawDinamo Minsk
30.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 27.09% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 42.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.13%55.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.02% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)76.98% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.39% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)33.61% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.74% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)70.25% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Dinamo Minsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.13% (0.0040000000000049 0)25.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.15% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)60.85% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 30.18%
    Dinamo Minsk 42.73%
    Draw 27.08%
Arsenal DzerzhinskDrawDinamo Minsk
1-0 @ 9.48% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 6.99% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.17% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 30.18%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 8.69%
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.08%
0-1 @ 11.75%
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 7.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.58% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.13%
1-4 @ 1.32%
0-4 @ 1.21% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 42.73%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 2-0 BATE
Sunday, May 26 at 1pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Neman 1-0 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Thursday, May 16 at 6.45pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1-0 Slutsk
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 0-2 Dinamo Brest
Saturday, May 4 at 4.30pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Slavia Mozyr 3-0 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Sunday, April 28 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 2-0 Soligorsk
Saturday, April 20 at 2pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Slavia Mozyr 1-1 Dinamo Minsk
Sunday, May 26 at 5pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 3-2 Soligorsk
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Isloch 0-1 Dinamo Minsk
Sunday, May 12 at 2pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 1-1 Vitebsk
Thursday, May 2 at 4.15pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Dnepr Mogilev 0-2 Dinamo Minsk
Saturday, April 27 at 6.15pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 0-0 Torpedo-BelAZ
Sunday, April 21 at 2pm in Belarusian Premier League


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