Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 61.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Ashdod had a probability of 17.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.7%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for an Ashdod win it was 1-0 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beitar Jerusalem would win this match.
Result | ||
Ashdod | Draw | Beitar Jerusalem |
17.4% ( 0.01) | 21.53% ( 0.01) | 61.07% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.75% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.65% ( -0.01) | 45.35% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.31% ( -0.01) | 67.69% ( 0.02) |
Ashdod Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.42% ( 0.01) | 39.57% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.74% ( 0.01) | 76.26% ( -0) |
Beitar Jerusalem Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.64% ( -0.01) | 14.36% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.77% ( -0.02) | 42.23% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Ashdod | Draw | Beitar Jerusalem |
1-0 @ 5.27% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.74% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.44% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.46% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 17.4% | 1-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.6% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.53% | 0-1 @ 11.02% 0-2 @ 10.7% 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-3 @ 6.92% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.42% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.36% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.11% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.3% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 61.06% |
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