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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Maccabi Petah Tikva had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Maccabi Petah Tikva win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beitar Jerusalem would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Beitar Jerusalem | Draw | Maccabi Petah Tikva |
39.74% ( -0.6) | 25.66% ( 0.17) | 34.6% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 55.19% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.14% ( -0.66) | 48.86% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.05% ( -0.6) | 70.95% ( 0.6) |
| Beitar Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.74% ( -0.6) | 24.26% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.38% ( -0.86) | 58.62% ( 0.86) |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.86% ( -0.05) | 27.13% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.47% ( -0.07) | 62.53% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Beitar Jerusalem | Draw | Maccabi Petah Tikva |
| 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.89% Total : 39.74% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 34.6% |
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