SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Hapoel Katamon had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Hapoel Katamon win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Beitar Jerusalem in this match.
| Result | ||
| Beitar Jerusalem | Draw | Hapoel Katamon |
45.13% ( -0.05) | 25.88% ( -0.02) | 28.99% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.25% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.34% ( 0.11) | 51.66% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.56% ( 0.09) | 73.44% ( -0.1) |
| Beitar Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.17% ( 0.02) | 22.83% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.44% ( 0.04) | 56.55% ( -0.04) |
| Hapoel Katamon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.7% ( 0.1) | 32.29% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.2% ( 0.12) | 68.79% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Beitar Jerusalem | Draw | Hapoel Katamon |
| 1-0 @ 10.88% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.09% 2-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 45.12% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 28.99% |
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