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League One | Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
WA

Birmingham
3 - 1
Wrexham

Stansfield (22', 52'), Iwata (59')
Klarer (36'), Gardner-Hickman (54'), Bielik (81'), Anderson (82')
Bielik (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Marriott (3')
Cannon (81'), McClean (81'), Mullin (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Salford City
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Wrexham

The two sides will both head into Monday's game with aspirations of claiming maximum points, but we think that the two in-form sides could cancel one another out which may result in the spoils being shared at St. Andrew's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 51.31%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawWrexham
51.31% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 23.09% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 25.6% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 58.67% (-0.119 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.05% (-0.183 -0.18)41.96% (0.183 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.64% (-0.184 -0.18)64.36% (0.18300000000001 0.18)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.55% (-0.101 -0.1)16.45% (0.1 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.87% (-0.181 -0.18)46.13% (0.182 0.18)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.22% (-0.059000000000012 -0.06)29.78% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.14% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)65.86% (0.073000000000008 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 51.31%
    Wrexham 25.6%
    Draw 23.09%
Birmingham CityDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.84% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.98% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.82% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.8% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 51.31%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.9% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.09%
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.93% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.59% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 25.6%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Walsall (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Wigan
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 0-2 Fulham
Tuesday, August 27 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-2 Birmingham
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 2-3 Birmingham
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 0-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Salford City
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 0-2 Wrexham
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Reading
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 0-0 Wrexham
Sunday, August 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Utd 4-2 Wrexham
Tuesday, August 13 at 8pm in EFL Cup


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