Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 76.77%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 9.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.4%), while for a FK Haugesund win it was 1-2 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.
Result | ||
Bodo/Glimt | Draw | FK Haugesund |
76.77% ( 0.68) | 14.07% ( -0.45) | 9.16% ( -0.24) |
Both teams to score 54.23% ( 0.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.02% ( 1.53) | 29.98% ( -1.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.83% ( 1.82) | 51.17% ( -1.82) |
Bodo/Glimt Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.61% ( 0.46) | 6.39% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.04% ( 1.26) | 23.96% ( -1.26) |
FK Haugesund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.93% ( 0.66) | 42.07% ( -0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.51% ( 0.56) | 78.49% ( -0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Bodo/Glimt | Draw | FK Haugesund |
2-0 @ 10.16% ( -0.35) 3-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.46) 4-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.2) 5-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.13) 6-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.11) 6-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.12) 5-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.1) Other @ 4.23% Total : 76.76% | 1-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.17% Total : 14.07% | 1-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.96% Total : 9.16% |
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