Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 60.79%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 19.76% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.67%) and 1-3 (7.26%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 (5.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bodo/Glimt in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bodo/Glimt.
Result | ||
Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
19.76% ( -0.14) | 19.45% ( 0.06) | 60.79% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 63.87% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.39% ( -0.49) | 31.6% ( 0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.89% ( -0.58) | 53.1% ( 0.57) |
Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.11% ( -0.42) | 28.88% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.24% ( -0.52) | 64.75% ( 0.52) |
Bodo/Glimt Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.81% ( -0.13) | 10.19% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.54% ( -0.29) | 33.45% ( 0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
2-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 19.76% | 1-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.37% Total : 19.45% | 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 7.26% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 5.84% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 4.14% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 3.34% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.57% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.52% 2-5 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.54% Total : 60.79% |
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