Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 87.23%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 3.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 4-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.14%), while for a FK Haugesund win it was 1-2 (1.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.
Result | ||
Bodo/Glimt | Draw | FK Haugesund |
87.23% ( 0.57) | 8.82% ( -0.37) | 3.95% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 44.43% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.55% ( 0.92) | 25.45% ( -0.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.49% ( 1.18) | 45.51% ( -1.18) |
Bodo/Glimt Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.2% ( 0.24) | 3.8% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
83.78% ( 0.76) | 16.22% ( -0.76) |
FK Haugesund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.19% ( -0.09) | 53.81% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.84% ( -0.06) | 87.16% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Bodo/Glimt | Draw | FK Haugesund |
3-0 @ 11.91% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.24) 4-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.27) 5-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.22) 4-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.12) 6-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 7-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.11) 5-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) 7-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.78% Total : 87.21% | 1-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.54% Total : 8.82% | 1-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.4% Total : 3.95% |
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