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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 13
Jul 7, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Aspmyra Stadion

Bodo/Glimt
5 - 1
Brann

Saltnes (20'), Gundersen (45+1'), Berg (55', 77'), Fet (89')
Berg (22')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sarpsborg 1-2 Bodo/Glimt
Friday, June 28 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 0-0 Stromsgodset
Friday, June 28 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Bodo/Glimt 2-1 SK Brann

Although Brann have done well in the league since returning to the top flight, it is difficult to ignore the strong pedigree of Bodo/Glimt. Additionally, given the hosts have the league's best offensive and defensive records, it is fair to say that they come into Sunday's clash as favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for SK Brann had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest SK Brann win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.

Result
Bodo/GlimtDrawSK Brann
45.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 22.88% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 31.87% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 64.2% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.3% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)36.7% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.13% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)58.86% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Bodo/Glimt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.3% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)16.7% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.41% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)46.59% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
SK Brann Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.07% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)22.93% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.3% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)56.7% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bodo/Glimt 45.25%
    SK Brann 31.87%
    Draw 22.88%
Bodo/GlimtDrawSK Brann
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 6.85% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.13% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.97% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.66%
4-1 @ 2.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 4.39%
Total : 45.25%
1-1 @ 10.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 3.83% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.88%
1-2 @ 7.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.64% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.15% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 31.87%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sarpsborg 1-2 Bodo/Glimt
Friday, June 28 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Haugesund 0-1 Bodo/Glimt
Sunday, June 2 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 1-1 Sandefjord
Wednesday, May 29 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 2-2 KFUM
Friday, May 24 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: HamKam 1-0 Bodo/Glimt
Monday, May 20 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 4-0 Tromso
Thursday, May 16 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 0-0 Stromsgodset
Friday, June 28 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: HamKam 1-2 Brann
Saturday, June 1 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 2-1 Kristiansund
Wednesday, May 29 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 1-3 Molde
Sunday, May 26 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Kristiansund 2-2 Brann
Monday, May 20 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 2-1 Sandefjord
Thursday, May 16 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien


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