Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 70.68%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Les Herbiers had a probability of 11.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Les Herbiers win it was 0-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bordeaux in this match.