Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 56.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 19.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bordeaux would win this match.
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