SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Fulham win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Fulham |
42.85% ( 0.14) | 25.11% ( -0.02) | 32.03% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 56.28% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.89% ( 0.04) | 47.11% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.65% ( 0.04) | 69.34% ( -0.04) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.04% ( 0.09) | 21.96% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.75% ( 0.13) | 55.25% ( -0.13) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.12% ( -0.06) | 27.88% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.51% ( -0.08) | 63.49% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bournemouth | Draw | Fulham |
| 1-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 42.85% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 32.03% |
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