SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Fulham win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Fulham |
42.85% ( 0.14) | 25.11% ( -0.02) | 32.03% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 56.28% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.89% ( 0.04) | 47.11% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.65% ( 0.04) | 69.34% ( -0.04) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.04% ( 0.09) | 21.96% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.75% ( 0.13) | 55.25% ( -0.13) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.12% ( -0.06) | 27.88% ( 0.06) |
