SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Bournemouth |
38.54% ( -0.78) | 25.6% ( 0.29) | 35.85% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 55.56% ( -0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.54% ( -1.28) | 48.45% ( 1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.41% ( -1.18) | 70.59% ( 1.17) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.29% ( -0.98) | 24.71% ( 0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.75% ( -1.39) | 59.25% ( 1.39) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.79% ( -0.32) | 26.2% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.7% ( -0.43) | 61.3% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 1-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.81% Total : 38.54% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.3% Total : 35.85% |
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