SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 24.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 2-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Newcastle United |
24.08% ( -0.03) | 23.29% ( 0.01) | 52.63% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.35% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.73% ( -0.06) | 44.27% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.35% ( -0.06) | 66.65% ( 0.06) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.74% ( -0.06) | 32.26% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.24% ( -0.07) | 68.76% ( 0.07) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.18% ( -0.02) | 16.82% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.2% ( -0.03) | 46.8% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bournemouth | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.47% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 24.08% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.62% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.8% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.58% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.28% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0)1-5 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 52.63% |
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