SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 72.6%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Coquimbo Unido had a probability of 10.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.83%) and 3-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.25%), while for a Coquimbo Unido win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bragantino | Draw | Coquimbo Unido |
72.6% ( -0.19) | 17.38% ( 0.05) | 10.03% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 44.9% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.39% ( 0.18) | 43.6% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34% ( 0.18) | 66% ( -0.18) |
| Bragantino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.41% ( -0) | 10.59% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.64% ( -0) | 34.36% ( 0) |
| Coquimbo Unido Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.21% ( 0.4) | 49.78% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.49% ( 0.28) | 84.51% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bragantino | Draw | Coquimbo Unido |
| 2-0 @ 13.28% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 72.58% | 1-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.62% Total : 17.38% | 0-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.19% Total : 10.03% |
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