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Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 14, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Nabi Abi Chedid
BL

Bragantino
1 - 1
Botafogo

Talisson (86')
Capixaba (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Santos (76')
da Silva (20'), Marcal (44'), Fernandez Torres (45+2'), Tiquinho (80'), Janderson (90')
Suarez (51')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Bragantino and Botafogo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Botafogo 2-1 Bragantino
Thursday, March 7 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Botafogo 2-1 Bragantino
Thursday, March 7 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 49.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 24.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
BragantinoDrawBotafogo
49.07% (0.591 0.59) 26.93% (-0.052 -0.05) 24.01% (-0.538 -0.54)
Both teams to score 45.39% (-0.356 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.35% (-0.202 -0.2)58.65% (0.202 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.8% (-0.158 -0.16)79.2% (0.157 0.16)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98% (0.184 0.18)24.02% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.73% (0.265 0.27)58.28% (-0.266 -0.27)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.73% (-0.616 -0.62)40.27% (0.61499999999999 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.1% (-0.563 -0.56)76.9% (0.562 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Bragantino 49.06%
    Botafogo 24.01%
    Draw 26.92%
BragantinoDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 13.79% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 9.84% (0.181 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.68% (0.111 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.26% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 49.06%
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.67% (0.074 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 8.8% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-2 @ 5.71% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-2 @ 4% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 24.01%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Botafogo 2-1 Bragantino
Thursday, March 7 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Bragantino 0-0 Aguilas (4-3 pen.)
Wednesday, February 28 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Aguilas 0-0 Bragantino
Wednesday, February 21 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Vasco 2-1 Bragantino
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 1-0 Coritiba
Sunday, December 3 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 1-2 Fortaleza
Thursday, November 30 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 2-1 Bragantino
Thursday, March 7 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Botafogo 6-0 Aurora
Thursday, February 29 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Aurora 1-1 Botafogo
Thursday, February 22 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Internacional 3-1 Botafogo
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 0-0 Cruzeiro
Sunday, December 3 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Coritiba 1-1 Botafogo
Thursday, November 30 at 12.30am in Brasileiro


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