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Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg
Feb 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Alberto Grisales
B

Aguilas
0 - 0
Bragantino


Moreno (79'), Varela (90+5')
FT

Vitinho (39'), Jadsom (61'), Sasha (69')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Aguilas Doradas and Bragantino.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Rionegro 1-2 Santa Fe
Thursday, March 9 at 12am in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Vasco 2-1 Bragantino
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Aguilas Doradas had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Aguilas Doradas win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Aguilas DoradasDrawBragantino
31.27% (1.981 1.98) 26.71% (-0.038 -0.04) 42.02% (-1.938 -1.94)
Both teams to score 50.8% (1.041 1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.94% (0.899 0.9)54.06% (-0.893 -0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.51% (0.748 0.75)75.49% (-0.74299999999999 -0.74)
Aguilas Doradas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.11% (1.911 1.91)31.89% (-1.906 -1.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.67% (2.126 2.13)68.33% (-2.121 -2.12)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.58% (-0.578 -0.58)25.42% (0.583 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.76% (-0.801 -0.8)60.24% (0.805 0.81)
Score Analysis
    Aguilas Doradas 31.27%
    Bragantino 42.02%
    Draw 26.71%
Aguilas DoradasDrawBragantino
1-0 @ 9.27% (0.159 0.16)
2-1 @ 7.25% (0.372 0.37)
2-0 @ 5.3% (0.355 0.36)
3-1 @ 2.76% (0.275 0.28)
3-0 @ 2.02% (0.23 0.23)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.159 0.16)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 31.27%
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 8.11% (-0.287 -0.29)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.175 0.18)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 11.1% (-0.59 -0.59)
1-2 @ 8.69% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-2 @ 7.6% (-0.538 -0.54)
1-3 @ 3.97% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-3 @ 3.47% (-0.308 -0.31)
2-3 @ 2.27% (0.043 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 42.02%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Rionegro 1-2 Santa Fe
Thursday, March 9 at 12am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Rionegro 1-1 Oriente
Friday, March 22 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Vasco 2-1 Bragantino
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 1-0 Coritiba
Sunday, December 3 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 1-2 Fortaleza
Thursday, November 30 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 1-0 Bragantino
Sunday, November 26 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Bragantino
Friday, November 24 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 2-2 Botafogo
Sunday, November 12 at 7pm in Brasileiro


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